Accession Number : AD0255770

Title :   OUTLINE OF AN ANALYTIC APPROACH TO PREDICTING SOCIETAL SYSTEM RECOVERY FROM AN AIR ATTACK

Corporate Author : HUMAN SCIENCES RESEARCH INC MCLEAN VA

Personal Author(s) : LYBRAND,WILLIAM A.

Report Date : MAR 1961

Pagination or Media Count : 1

Abstract : The ultimate objective of the present research program is development of a recovery-prediction system that integrates both physical and social effects of thermonuclear air attack. Recovery as an over-all goal in such a situation is defined as the successive accomplishment of three separate subgoals: (1) viability of the surviving society; this refers to the minimum bedrock requirements for human survival (e. g., amounts of food, shelter, clothing), (2) development and maintenance of a war-waging capability, and (3) longer-range ideological, cultural, and societal goals. The particular potential applications of the predictive system are concerned primarily with the first two subgoals. It is important to note, however, that those pre-attack ideological, cultural, and societal factors which are important determinants of viability and warwaging capability are of direct concern to the inquiry. (Author)

Descriptors :   *CIVIL DEFENSE, *FALLOUT, *RADIOLOGICAL WARFARE, MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION, RECOVERY, SOCIOLOGY

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE