Accession Number : AD0275785

Title :   THE SOVIET AGRICULTURAL PROGRAM. AN EVALUATION OF THE 1965 GOALS

Corporate Author : RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF

Personal Author(s) : JOHNSON,D. GALE ; KAHAN,ARCADIUS

Report Date : MAY 1962

Pagination or Media Count : 1

Abstract : This study evaluates the feasibility of the Seven Year Plan goals for 11 basic agricultural commodties (grain, potatoes, vegetables, oil seeds, sugar beets, cotton, flax fiber, meat, milk, eggs, and wool). The planned increase in aggregate output of these commodities between 1958 and 1965 is 62 per cent when outputs are valued at 1958 procurement prices. Over fourfifths of the planned increase is accounted for by feed and livestock products. The authors' estimates assume that sown area will increase by not more than 10 per cent, that machinery inputs will approach the planned level, that mineral fertilizer inputs will be about 30 per cent below plan, and that there will be significant improvements in efficiency. The goals for the technical or industrial crops (cotton, flax fiber, oil seeds, and sugar beets) can probably be met if they receive top priority. The estimated increase in feed might permit an increase in livestock output of 36 per cent (far below plan). Assuming normal weather, aggregate output of the 11 commodities considered might increase by 24 per cent (compared with the planned increase of 62 per cent). (Author)

Descriptors :   *AGRICULTURE, *ANIMALS, CLIMATE, LABOR, TABLES(DATA)

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE