Accession Number : AD0506770

Title :   Analysis of Program Factor-Demand Relationships for M16 Rifle Parts.

Descriptive Note : Final rept.,

Corporate Author : ARMY LOGISTICS MANAGEMENT CENTER FORT LEE VA

Personal Author(s) : Gajdalo,Steven

Report Date : NOV 1969

Pagination or Media Count : 48

Abstract : This report contains results of an empirical study of the relationship that exists between demand for parts of the M16 Rifle and rifle density or round expenditure. Actual demands from Vietnam and the actual monthly density and round expenditure in Vietnam for 1967 and 1968 are used in the analyses. Relationships are examined for the BSU and the NICP levels of supply. Patterns of overall round expenditure and density as well as patterns of a finer breakdown of the overall, i.e., by type of mission, terrain, and combat status of units, are compared with patterns of demand and dollar value of the demand for individual items, for the catalog of items, and for aggregation of items by three class types. Forecasts of density and round expenditure as given in DA-1322 reports are compared with the actual values. For both levels of supply, density appears to have no bearing on demand. Round expenditure seems to affect demand but the changes are not proportional. Forecasts of round expenditure are not very good. A demand forecast methodology is suggested and guidelines given to what extent future analysis of this type should be carried. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*INVENTORY ANALYSIS, SPARE PARTS), (*SPARE PARTS, *RIFLES), DATA PROCESSING, GUN COMPONENTS, STATISTICAL DISTRIBUTIONS, MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION, FACTOR ANALYSIS, SUPPLY DEPOTS, MANAGEMENT PLANNING AND CONTROL, INVENTORY CONTROL, COSTS, TIME SERIES ANALYSIS (U) SMALL ARMS AMMUNITION, MILITARY REQUIREMENTS, VIETNAM, ARMY OPERATIONS, TERRAIN, CONSUMPTION, RECORDS

Subject Categories : Logistics, Military Facilities and Supplies
      Guns

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE