Accession Number : AD0643949

Title :   STUDIES IN DEFERRENCE. XIII. PATTERN AND LEVEL OF RISK IN SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY-MAKING, 1945-1963.

Descriptive Note : Final rept.,

Corporate Author : STANFORD UNIV CALIF

Personal Author(s) : Triska,Jan F.

Report Date : OCT 1966

Pagination or Media Count : 72

Abstract : Soviet behavior in risk situations is analyzed for 29 crises from 1945 to 1963. The inherent risk for the Soviet Union in each crisis situation is scaled according to: The countries involved; The stakes; Geographical location; Developmental factors; Relative military strength. Soviet behavior in each crisis is scaled according to: Proportionality of risk-taking to objectives (actional symmetry construct); Maximum Soviet bid; Character of crisis outcome; Timing of major moves. The behavioral variables are tested for statistical correlation with the situational variables.

Descriptors :   (*FOREIGN POLICY, USSR), (*DETERRENCE, FOREIGN POLICY), PROBABILITY, COLD WAR, COMMUNISM, LEADERSHIP, STRATEGIC WARFARE, GAME THEORY, DECISION MAKING, POLITICAL SCIENCE

Subject Categories : Government and Political Science

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE