Accession Number : AD0647871

Title :   AN EXPERIMENT WITH THE DELPHI PROCEDURE FOR LONG-RANGE FORECASTING, PART II,

Corporate Author : AIR FORCE OFFICE OF SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH ARLINGTON VA

Personal Author(s) : Martino,Joseph P.

Report Date : FEB 1967

Pagination or Media Count : 13

Abstract : The report presents the results of an experiment to prepare a forecast of the international situation over the period 1966 - 2015. Near-term forecasts, giving the expected outcome of current situations; mid-range forecasts for the period 1970 to the end of the century; and a picture of the world in 2015, are included. No estimate of the validity of the forecasts can be made at this time. However, the members of the experimental panel are men of such stature in the field, that their forecasts deserve the attention of those interested in the future international situation. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*MANAGEMENT PLANNING AND CONTROL, DECISION MAKING), (*DECISION MAKING, QUESTIONNAIRES), PREDICTIONS, PROBABILITY, POLITICAL SCIENCE

Subject Categories : Administration and Management
      Psychology

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE