Accession Number : AD0657383

Title :   AN OBJECTIVE TECHNIQUE FOR FORECASTING SUMMER THUNDERSTORMS AT DAVIS-MONTHAN AIR FORCE BASE, ARIZONA,

Corporate Author : WEATHER WING (9TH) DAVIS-MONTHAN AFB ARIZ DETACHMENT 2

Personal Author(s) : Clark,Robert E. ; Cooley,Keith R.

Report Date : 01 AUG 1966

Pagination or Media Count : 21

Abstract : An objective forecasting technique, using data obtained from the Tucson 1200Z RAOB, was developed for Davis-Monthan AFB. Plots of various combinations of the indices of moisture, instability, and movement indicate (by a simple summing process) likelihood of thunderstorm activity and probable time of occurrence, if activity is likely. The technique developed is based on two years of data, the summers of 1964 and 1965, and verified against data for the summer of 1966. Although the sample is small, results appear to be very good considering the rigid verification criteria established and the other normal variability factors. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*WEATHER FORECASTING, *THUNDERSTORMS), GRAPHICS, METEOROLOGICAL PHENOMENA, ARIZONA

Subject Categories : Meteorology

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE