Accession Number : AD0660538

Title :   PROBABILITIES OF THE STOCHASTIC VARIATIONS OF WET AND DRY DAYS.

Descriptive Note : Research translation,

Corporate Author : EMMANUEL COLL BOSTON MASS ORIENTAL SCIENCE LIBRARY

Personal Author(s) : Yao,C. S.

Report Date : SEP 1967

Pagination or Media Count : 24

Abstract : In the paper, the probabilities of the stochastic variations of wet and dry days are evaluated by means of regular Markov chains. The computed results are found to be useful in supplementing single-station forecasts. A recursion formula of high order transition probabilities is also derived directly from conditional probabilities and the computed results from this formula are concordant with those calculated from Markov chains. In addition, it is shown that a formula for determining the sampling values of high order transition probabilities may be obtained from the above recursion formula. These values are found to be useful in determining the adequacy of the computed results from Markov chains in representing the observed situations. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*ATMOSPHERIC PRECIPITATION, STOCHASTIC PROCESSES), METEOROLOGICAL PHENOMENA, TIME, PROBABILITY, SAMPLING, MATHEMATICAL MODELS, THEOREMS, CHINA

Subject Categories : Meteorology

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE