Accession Number : AD0673667

Title :   FLOW CONTROL - AN INVESTIGATION OF A TECHNIQUE FOR PREDICTING DEMAND AND SERVICE AT THE TERMINAL FACILITY.

Descriptive Note : Final rept.,

Corporate Author : NATIONAL AVIATION FACILITIES EXPERIMENTAL CENTER ATLANTIC CITY N J

Personal Author(s) : Jolitz,Gordon D.

Report Date : AUG 1968

Pagination or Media Count : 44

Abstract : The concept of the flow control function as a part of the Air Traffic Control (ATC) system includes a requirement for information about the volume of air traffic demand on the ATC system relative to the system's capacity for servicing such a demand. Furthermore, the information is needed sufficiently far in future time to permit action to be taken when a serious imbalance is predicted. The demand prediction process described in this report was based on two related hypotheses: (a) air traffic demand on an airport is repetitive in nature such that historical operations data would be useful as a predictor; and (b) operations information known to the Air Traffic Control (ATC) system would be a useful predictor. A computer program was developed which permitted joint use of the two predictors and, using sample data from a test case (Washington National) airport, the prediction model was evaluated. A companion program which was designed to provide service predictions took into account such environmental factors as weather and runway configuration. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS, *AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TERMINAL AREAS), (*AIR TRAFFIC, PREDICTIONS), COMPATIBILITY, MATHEMATICAL MODELS, COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, MAINTENANCE, STATISTICAL ANALYSIS, METEOROLOGICAL PHENOMENA, CIVIL AVIATION, REAL TIME

Subject Categories : Commercial and General Aviation
      Computer Programming and Software
      Air Navigation and Guidance

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE