Accession Number : AD0685615

Title :   PREDICTION OF POLICE INCIDENTS AND ACCIDENTS BY METEOROLOGICAL variables.

Descriptive Note : Technical rept. Jan 64-Mar 69,

Corporate Author : TEXAS CHRISTIAN UNIV FORT WORTH INST OF BEHAVIORAL RESEARCH

Personal Author(s) : Will,Donald P. , Jr. ; Sells,S. B.

Report Date : MAR 1969

Pagination or Media Count : 92

Abstract : Weather variables were studied as predictors of police incidents in the City of Fort Worth for a six month period. Frequencies of 31 categories of calls to the police department and means of 13 weather variables, as well as the day of the year, were computed by six-hour intervals. Correlations among all variables were computed for each of the four quarters of the day over 178 days, and also across all 712 quarter-day periods; nine categories of police calls were selected for further analysis. Two factors, a temperature-pressure and precipitation-fog, were found for all criteria; a pressure-wind factor occurred for 8 of the 9 criterion variables, and a precipitation factor occurred for three criteria. Methodological problems suggest caution in interpretation, although both the results and the methods used appear promising for further research. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*BEHAVIOR, MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION), (*WEATHER, CORRELATION TECHNIQUES), STATISTICAL ANALYSIS, RECORDS, POLICE, ACCIDENTS, CRIMINOLOGY, MENTAL DISORDERS, PERIODIC VARIATIONS, METEOROLOGICAL PHENOMENA, PSYCHOLOGICAL TESTS, TEXAS

Subject Categories : Psychology

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE