Accession Number : AD0690988
Title : THE DELPHI METHOD, II: STRUCTURE OF EXPERIMENTS,
Corporate Author : RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF
Personal Author(s) : Brown,B. ; Cochran,S. ; Dalkey,N.
Report Date : JUN 1969
Pagination or Media Count : 137
Abstract : The paper presents compilation of the experimental designs, questionnaires, and resulting group response data representing the raw materials of a Rand evaluation of Delphi procedures. (Analysis of the data and major conclusions are presented in AD-690 498). The Delphi technique uses an anonymous, orderly program of sequential individual interrogations, with controlled feedback from respondents between interrogations, to elicit and refine group judgments where exact knowledge is unavailable. Different experiments tested different hypotheses. One was designed to compare the relative accuracy of group answers obtained by the Delphi questionnaire-feedback method with those obtained by a structured, face-to-face discussion.
Descriptors : (*MANAGEMENT PLANNING AND CONTROL, DECISION MAKING), (*DECISION MAKING, *GROUP DYNAMICS), REASONING, REACTION(PSYCHOLOGY), PREDICTIONS, PUBLIC OPINION, QUESTIONNAIRES, FEEDBACK, PERFORMANCE(HUMAN), TEST CONSTRUCTION(PSYCHOLOGY), ITERATIONS
Subject Categories : Administration and Management
Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE