Accession Number : AD0696091

Title :   CRITERIA FOR EVALUATING FORECASTS.

Descriptive Note : Technical rept.,

Corporate Author : NORTHWESTERN UNIV EVANSTON ILL DEPT OF PSYCHOLOGY

Personal Author(s) : Milburn,Thomas W.

Report Date : MAY 1969

Pagination or Media Count : 25

Abstract : Planners find it necessary to make projections of trends or other forecasts of probable events or changes from the present state. Sometimes they must emphasize improbable events relevant to their missions. The growing interest in forecasting suggests a need for principles or criteria for better as contrasted with worse ones. Some criteria are suggested along with an example which appears to be consonant with them. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*PREDICTIONS, ANALYSIS), MANAGEMENT PLANNING AND CONTROL, PLANNING, PROBABILITY

Subject Categories : Psychology

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE