Accession Number : AD0713096

Title :   FORECASTING ASIAN STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTS FOR NATIONAL SECURITY DECISIONMAKING: A REPORT AND A METHOD,

Corporate Author : RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF

Personal Author(s) : Wilcox,Wayne

Report Date : JUN 1970

Pagination or Media Count : 57

Abstract : The report presents a description of a forecasting model, based on political and technological forecasting techniques, to help decisionmakers identify salient futures for present policy consideration. The Alternative Salient Futures (ASF) forecast is reported for India in 1980, offering several dimensions for analytical presentation. ASF is then applied to a five-power Asia in 1980 with changing governments in the United States, USSR, CPR, Japan, and India under two alternative conditions: an American troop and aid withdrawal from all Asian commitments and an American withdrawal of troops only. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*SOUTHEAST ASIA, *POLITICAL SCIENCE), MODELS(SIMULATIONS), JAPAN, INDIA, USSR, CHINA, UNITED STATES, PREDICTIONS, MILITARY STRATEGY

Subject Categories : Government and Political Science

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE