Accession Number : AD0716809

Title :   Estimation of Validity in the Absence of a Criterion.

Corporate Author : SOUTHWESTERN COMPUTING SERVICE INC TULSA OKLA

Personal Author(s) : Mullins,Cecil J. ; Usdin,Eugene

Report Date : OCT 1970

Pagination or Media Count : 34

Abstract : In a training situation, standard procedures to predict performance entail a long delay between the request for a prediction instrument and its delivery. In the study, methods were developed for constructing prediction instruments at the time of request, rather than requiring the necessary time elapse for maturation of criterion data. The prediction systems developed by these methods were about as effective as instruments developed by the classical methods. The synthetic methods utilized estimates of performance made by experts in the training area as substitutes for actual performance. These methods, therefore, can be used before a course has even been given for the first time. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*PERFORMANCE(HUMAN), MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION), (*PSYCHOLOGICAL TESTS, SYNTHESIS), APPROXIMATION(MATHEMATICS), APTITUDE TESTS, MILITARY TRAINING, SUBSTITUTES, FACTOR ANALYSIS, MATHEMATICAL MODELS

Subject Categories : Humanities and History
      Psychology

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE