Accession Number : AD0720240

Title :   A Markovian Flow Model: The Analysis of Movement in Large-Scale (Military) Personnel Systems,

Corporate Author : RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF

Personal Author(s) : Merck,J. W. ; Hall,Kathleen

Report Date : FEB 1971

Pagination or Media Count : 131

Abstract : The report describes a model of social mobility to provide information concerning patterns of movement, projections of the existing military population into the future, and the impact produced by changes in the rate of movement. The model and computing procedures permit personnel managers to create an information system that describes the social and geographic mobility that military personnel continually undergo. Derived from mathematical concepts of Markovian processes, the model is presented as a series of FORTRAN subroutines capable of being used on a variety of contemporary computers. The model's principal attribute is its capacity to create future expected values given the starting distributions and a matrix of transition probabilities. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*PERSONNEL MANAGEMENT, MATHEMATICAL MODELS), (*AIR FORCE PERSONNEL, MOBILITY), STATISTICAL PROCESSES, COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, SUBROUTINES, PROBABILITY, OFFICER PERSONNEL, POPULATION(MATHEMATICS), MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION, SEQUENCES(MATHEMATICS)

Subject Categories : Personnel Management and Labor Relations
      Computer Programming and Software

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE