Accession Number : AD0721234

Title :   A Comparison of Some Lanchester Models of the Skirmish.

Descriptive Note : Master's thesis,

Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CALIF

Personal Author(s) : Breede,Walter John , III

Report Date : MAR 1971

Pagination or Media Count : 46

Abstract : Four Lanchester-type models are examined to investigate the hypothetical attrition process in skirmishes between ground forces. Analytic solutions are developed to Lanchester-type equations of warfare for combat between two homogeneous forces in the following circumstances: Linear-law attrition process; Square-law attrition process with constant attrition-rate coefficients; Square-law attrition process with linearly-describing time varying attrition rates; and, Square-law attrition process with exponentially-decreasing, time varying attrition rates. The above models are applied to specific combat scenarios typical of a counterinsurgency environment. The adequacy of such models as defense planning guides is discussed through a critical examination of the assumptions (both explicit and implicit) which lead to them. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*GAME THEORY, *LANCHESTER EQUATIONS), (*WAR GAMES, MATHEMATICAL MODELS), COUNTERINSURGENCY, MILITARY TACTICS, MILITARY STRATEGY, GUERRILLA WARFARE, ATTRITION, KILL PROBABILITIES, DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS, COMPUTER PROGRAMS, SIMULATION, THESES

Subject Categories : Operations Research
      Unconventional Warfare

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE