Accession Number : AD0722858

Title :   Analysis Data Inputs and Sensitivity Tests in War Games,

Corporate Author : CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES ARLINGTON VA

Personal Author(s) : Overholt,John L.

Report Date : MAR 1971

Pagination or Media Count : 37

Abstract : The author discusses war gaming as an analytical tool for examining the effectiveness of various alternate courses of action or of military equipment and the role analysis has in the game. Wars and war games require sets of rules; The opposing sides attempt to select courses of actions which are favorable to each within these rules. Paradoxically, the great leaders find ways to break the rules as well as use them well; in war, decisions are changed which may not be tested when the rules are rigidly followed in a computer simulation. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*WAR GAMES, MATHEMATICAL MODELS), GAME THEORY, DECISION THEORY, MINE WARFARE, ANTIAIRCRAFT DEFENSE SYSTEMS, ANTISUBMARINE WARFARE, TACTICAL WARFARE, CLOSE SUPPORT, COUNTERINSURGENCY, PROBABILITY, MONTE CARLO METHOD, DATA PROCESSING, STATISTICAL ANALYSIS, SIMULATION

Subject Categories : Operations Research
      Unconventional Warfare

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE