Accession Number : AD0726470

Title :   An Approach to the Establishment of Practical Air Traffic Control Safety Goals.

Descriptive Note : Interim rept.,

Corporate Author : LITTLE (ARTHUR D) INC CAMBRIDGE MASS

Personal Author(s) : Lister,Simon F. ; Raisbeck,Gordon

Report Date : MAY 1971

Pagination or Media Count : 57

Abstract : The report shows how a knowledge of the incidence of fatal aircraft accidents in the recent past can be combined with an estimate of the overall risk in various types of human activity, which have been found socially acceptable, to produce rational, quantitative goals for the risk associated with air traffic control. Fatal accidents over an eight-year period, from 1961 to 1968 inclusive, are categorized in 36 groups based on 6 phases of flight and 6 type-cause categories. The improvement in overall air transportation safety which could be achieved by reducing or eliminating all sources of accident which are, in any way, related to air traffic control is examined. Inasmuch as the majority of fatalities cannot, by the most generous reckoning, be associated with air traffic control, the total possible improvement is not impressive. When, on the other hand, proportional reduction in risk from all causes is assumed, a set of mutually compatible risk goals for each of the 36 groups can be stated. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS, *AVIATION SAFETY), (*AVIATION ACCIDENTS, AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS), PROBABILITY, AIR TRANSPORTATION, CASUALTIES, CLASSIFICATION, CIVIL AVIATION

Subject Categories : Commercial and General Aviation
      Air Navigation and Guidance

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE