Accession Number : AD0733222

Title :   A Decision Model for the Force Level Requirements of the Army Strategic Objective Plan.

Descriptive Note : Master's thesis,

Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CALIF

Personal Author(s) : Bentson,Peter Morgan

Report Date : SEP 1971

Pagination or Media Count : 65

Abstract : A model of the ASOP decision process within the Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff for Military Operations is formulated. This decision deals with the aggregated force level estimates for the ASOP. The variables of the model are the informational sources which are utilized in forming the estimate for the ASOP. The Planning, Programming and Budgeting System requires annual submission of the Army's estimate of forces needed to meet strategic objectives. The background for the ASOP estimate is presented. A closer examination of the environment which prevails at ODCSOPS is then examined. The model is then described with a justification for selecting and quantifying the model's variable. A statistical technique was suggested to demonstrate possible insights which could be obtained from the model. The validity of the model is addressed in the concluding portion of the thesis. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*DECISION MAKING, MATHEMATICAL MODELS), (*STRATEGIC WARFARE, DECISION THEORY), WAR GAMES, THREAT EVALUATION, KILL PROBABILITIES, CASUALTIES, COMBAT SURVEILLANCE, COMBAT READINESS, THESES

Subject Categories : Psychology
      Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE