Accession Number : AD0747651

Title :   The Use of the Delphi Procedures in Manpower Forecasting.

Descriptive Note : Technical rept.,

Corporate Author : MINNESOTA UNIV MINNEAPOLIS CENTER FOR THE STUDY OF ORGANIZATIONAL PERFORMANCE AND HUMAN EFFECTIVENESS

Personal Author(s) : Milkovich,George T. ; Annoni,Anthony J. ; Mahoney,Thomas A.

Report Date : 1972

Pagination or Media Count : 21

Abstract : A case study was made in the development, implementation and evaluation of the delphi technique, which systematically makes use of expert judgment in generating manpower forecasts. This case study was conducted in a large national retail organization on professional manpower. The results of the delphi technique using an expert and a naive panel are compared with results generated by a conventional regression based model and the actual experience of the organization, which serves as the criterion. The study also analyzes the informational elements used by experts during the delphi procedures and develops a model based on these elements. The usefulness of the delphi in generating manpower forecasting models is discussed. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*MANPOWER, PREDICTIONS), REASONING, PERSONNEL MANAGEMENT, MANAGEMENT PLANNING AND CONTROL

Subject Categories : Personnel Management and Labor Relations

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE