Accession Number : AD0749061

Title :   A Lanchester-Based Model for Investigation of Tactical Decision Rules for Two-Stage Ambushes.

Descriptive Note : Master's thesis,

Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CALIF

Personal Author(s) : Metkarunchit,Treepet

Report Date : SEP 1972

Pagination or Media Count : 43

Abstract : In order to analyze ambush tactics of small units, a generalization of Lanchester Theory of Combat to a set of Lanchester-type equations modeling small force guerilla engagements is used. The tactic investigated is that of the double ambush, wherein the ambushing force is divided to stage two sequential ambushes. The withdrawal of the first ambushing force is assumed to lead a pursuing opponent into the second ambush. Ambusher force allocation, and decision rules for withdrawal in the first ambush were varied and second ambush survivors were used as a measure effectiveness. Repeated computer solutions of the Lanchester-based model permitted general conclusions about certain tactics in this ambush situation. Suggested extension to the study are also discussed. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*GUERRILLA WARFARE, LANCHESTER EQUATIONS), TACTICAL WARFARE, KILL PROBABILITIES, WAR GAMES, GAME THEORY, COMPUTER PROGRAMS, MATHEMATICAL MODELS, THESES, DECISION THEORY

Subject Categories : Unconventional Warfare

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE