Accession Number : AD0753535

Title :   User's and Operator's Manual for the Local and Aggregate Total Emergency Health Care System Models. Revised Edition.

Descriptive Note : Final rept. Sep 71-Sep 72,

Corporate Author : RESEARCH TRIANGLE INST DURHAM N C ENGINEERING DIV

Personal Author(s) : Pyecha,John N. ; Lyday,Russell O. , Jr. ; Botkin,Gerald M.

Report Date : DEC 1972

Pagination or Media Count : 277

Abstract : The purpose of this volume is to provide the detailed instructions required to use the CDC 3600 FORTRAN computer programs developed under this study. Two models were designed to assist in analyzing postattack health consequences. The Aggregate Model can be applied in the study of health-related problems at the area, state, regional, or national levels. The Local Model is designed for single locality studies. The Local and Aggregate Models are of similar design in that each consists of three submodels or programs that provide essentially the same type of output for their respective geographic areas: (a) an Immediate Effects Submodel that covers the period (days 0 through 30) during which the medical effort is directed toward improving the prognosis of the immediate weapon effects injuries, (b) a Communicable Disease Submodel that covers days 31 through 365 and is directed toward prevention and cure of disease epidemics, and (c) a Physical Demands Potential Submodel that relates the degree of physical recovery of injured and/or diseases survivors to their ability to effectively meet the demands of various job or occupational categories over days 31 through 365 postattack. Key inputs to both the Local and Aggregate Models are the expected medical caseload and postattack availability of medical resources with which to treat these casualties. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*PUBLIC HEALTH, SYSTEMS ENGINEERING), (*CIVIL DEFENSE, SYSTEMS ENGINEERING), (*DATA PROCESSING, PUBLIC HEALTH), COMPUTER PROGRAMS, MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION, CASUALTIES, NUCLEAR WARFARE, INFECTIOUS DISEASES, MEDICAL PERSONNEL, MEDICAL SUPPLIES, WOUNDS AND INJURIES, RADIATION INJURIES, SURVIVAL(PERSONNEL)

Subject Categories : Medicine and Medical Research
      Computer Programming and Software
      Civil Defense

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE