Accession Number : AD0757046

Title :   The Probability Distribution of the Number of Targets Hit Under Successive Firings.

Descriptive Note : Project strike document,

Corporate Author : CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES ARLINGTON VA NAVAL WARFARE ANALYSIS GROUP

Personal Author(s) : Isaacs,R.

Report Date : 31 OCT 1963

Pagination or Media Count : 14

Abstract : A mathematical development is presented which answers two questions concerning the probablistic outcomes of a succession of weapons (bombs) aimed at some complex of targets. Given a set of k targets and the probabilities that each is hit by a single bomb, as well as the probability of a miss, what are the probabilities of destroying 0, 1, 2, ..., k targets when n bombs attack. A target is supposed destroyed when hit by at least one bomb, and the same, but there is now a positive probability that a pair of targets may be destroyed by a single bomb. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*PRECISION BOMBING, *KILL PROBABILITIES), RANDOM VARIABLES, SET THEORY, THEOREMS, MATHEMATICAL MODELS

Subject Categories : Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE