Accession Number : AD0759420

Title :   The Long-Range Future of the Navy,

Corporate Author : NAVAL WAR COLL NEWPORT RI

Personal Author(s) : Carenza, John L. ; Hart, Frank A. ; Ives, Jon R. ; McEachen, Angus D. ; Pitt, William M.

Report Date : 15 APR 1971

Pagination or Media Count : 357

Abstract : The report presents a forecast of possible environments which the Navy will face in the final quarter of the Twentieth Century. The writings of futurists in both technical fields and the social sciences are examined to determine the range of plausible world conditions which could materialize. In Volume One, three scenarios are developed depicting the world under varying degrees of international involvement and interstate conflict: World-wide Withdrawal, in which the major nations are turning inward under the pressure of internal problems; the Cooperative World, in which cooperative international interaction is intensified; and a Conflictual World, characterized by interstate conflict. In each scenario, implications for the Navy of the postulated international environment are discussed.

Descriptors :   *NAVY, PREDICTIONS, POLITICAL SCIENCE, SOCIOLOGY, POPULATION, FOOD, ECONOMICS, OCEANOGRAPHY, WEAPON SYSTEMS, NAVAL RESEARCH.

Subject Categories : Military Forces and Organizations

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE