Accession Number : AD0761485

Title :   Synthetic Verification Matrices--1,

Descriptive Note : Air Force surveys in geophysics,

Corporate Author : AIR FORCE CAMBRIDGE RESEARCH LABS L G HANSCOM FIELD MASS

Personal Author(s) : Touart,C. N.

Report Date : 13 MAR 1973

Pagination or Media Count : 28

Abstract : Two approximations for the verification matrix of a subjective weather forecast are compared. Neither requires more information than the climatological frequencies of the forecast categories and the skill score of the forecast. The more accurate synthesis yields an RMS error of less than 0.01 for the 16 elements of a 4-category aviation terminal forecast. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*CLIMATE, *WEATHER FORECASTING), MATRICES(MATHEMATICS), STATISTICAL ANALYSIS, MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION

Subject Categories : Meteorology

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE