Accession Number : AD0769387

Title :   A Model for the Statistical Analysis of Land Combat Simulation and Field Experimentation Data.

Descriptive Note : Master's thesis,

Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CALIF

Personal Author(s) : Andrighetti,John

Report Date : SEP 1973

Pagination or Media Count : 64

Abstract : A nonstationary Markov model was developed relating weapon system effectiveness (WSE) to the time sequence of casualties observed in a two-sided, heterogeneous force, land combat simulation or field experiment. Parametric tests of hypothesis are used to analyze the relationships between WSE and engagement range and the numbers and types of combatants in the engagement. Maximum likelihood estimators of WSE demonstrated by a weapon system over the course of an engagement are obtained. Use of the Markovian model and WSE estimates in a low resolution simulation to investigate the impact of changes in force mix, speed of advance, and initial engagement range is discussed. (Author)

Descriptors :   (*Warfare, Mathematical models), (*Weapon systems, Statistical analysis), Computerized simulation, Stochastic processes, Kill probabilities, Casualties, Theses

Subject Categories : Operations Research
      Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE