Accession Number : AD0776968

Title :   Mathematical Model for Disease Prediction. Computer Operation of a Qualitative Mathematical Model for Rocky Mountain Spotted Fever in the Western United States.

Descriptive Note : Interim rept.,


Personal Author(s) : Kingsland,Lawrence C. , III ; Lindberg,Donald A. B.

Report Date : FEB 1974

Pagination or Media Count : 65

Abstract : A computer programming system has been used to implement a Boolean logic scheme for predicting high and low disease potential for Rocky Mountain spotted fever in the western United States. Inputs to the system were attributes for the counties taken from the 'National Atlas of the United States'. With the computer decision rules, it was possible to some extent to substitute one kind of input data for another. The system offered moderately good tolerance for missing data and could give good predictions even in the face of simulated substantial practical difficulties. (Modified author abstract)

Descriptors :   *Rickettsia rickettsii, Epidemiology, Infectious diseases, Fevers, Mathematical models, Computer programming, United States, Predictions

Subject Categories : Medicine and Medical Research

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE