Accession Number : AD0781942

Title :   Estimation of Demand Variability Parameters.

Descriptive Note : Final rept.,

Corporate Author : AMC INVENTORY RESEARCH OFFICE PHILADELPHIA PA

Personal Author(s) : Kaplan,Alan J.

Report Date : MAY 1974

Pagination or Media Count : 42

Abstract : Demand variability is measured by percent forecast errors; e.g., if the forecast is 100 and actual is 75, percent forecast error is 25%. Analysis of more than 13,000 items shows that percent forecast error correlates highly with item activity. Items with larger numbers of demands per year tend to have lower percent forecast errors. An estimating relation to get expected forecast error based on item activity is developed. (Author)

Descriptors :   *Inventory control, *Army equipment, Forecasting, Analysis of variance, Estimates

Subject Categories : Administration and Management
      Logistics, Military Facilities and Supplies

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE