Accession Number : AD0783282

Title :   Estimating Bomber Penetration and Weapons Effectiveness,


Personal Author(s) : Nyland,F. S.

Report Date : MAY 1974

Pagination or Media Count : 60

Abstract : The report is an unclassified abridgment of a 1973 Rand report. It presents methods for examining the effects of bomber operations against air defenses under a variety of conditions, including the effects of various penetration aids. Based on closed form equations, the expected value models are designed for rapid estimation of outcomes. Bomber survival probability in a single battle is calculated separately for cases in which the interceptors are centrally controlled and cases where they search independently for penetrators. Both models include the effects of various bomber defense missiles, and explicitly treat the effects of long-range BDMs launched before the defense detects the penetrating force. A further extension (which could also be used with other models) examines the configuration of bomber payload to maximize weapons arriving at target. The expected value approach is extended to handle unexpected outcomes. Explicit account is taken of of uncertainties throughout. JOSS programs are appended, including routines for decoy discrimination and for AWACS survival. (Author)

Descriptors :   *Tactical bombing, *Penetration aids, Mathematical models, Decoys, Interceptors, Air to surface missiles, Penetration, Radar tracking, Electronic countermeasures, Antiaircraft defense systems, Early warning systems

Subject Categories : Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE