Accession Number : AD0783798

Title :   The Sino-Soviet Issue: War by 1990.

Descriptive Note : Group research project,

Corporate Author : ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA

Personal Author(s) : Farris,Jack B. , Jr. ; Springstead,Bertin W. ; Stephens,Edward L.

Report Date : 31 MAY 1974

Pagination or Media Count : 61

Abstract : The study examines whether or not there is a reasonable probability that the Soviet Union and China will be at war between now and 1990--whether the current Sino-Soviet rift will deepen into conflict. After a brief historical overview, the national interests of each country are explored. They indicate a continued hostile relationship for the foreseeable future, barring major changes in the national interests. Four variables are introduced and considered in detail: the problem of succession, particularly in China after Mao's death; the increasing size of each country's nuclear arsenal; the border dispute, its background and significance; and the probable direction which the balance of power in the Asian area will take. (Modified author abstract)

Descriptors :   *Foreign policy, *USSR, *China, Conflict, Tension, International relations, Power

Subject Categories : Government and Political Science

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE