Accession Number : AD0785953

Title :   The Development of a Predictive Model for First Unit Costs Following Breaks in Production.

Descriptive Note : Master's thesis,

Corporate Author : AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO SCHOOL OF SYSTEMS AND LOGISTICS

Personal Author(s) : Pichon,Allen A. , Jr. ; Richardson,Charles L.

Report Date : AUG 1974

Pagination or Media Count : 115

Abstract : While the learning curve has received increased emphasis from private industry and the United States Air Force (USAF), an associated phenomenon, the break in production and its effect on follow-on first unit costs has received little formal attention. Since a major activity of USAF is the procurement of spares or parts after initial production of a weapon system is completed, the need for a model to predict first unit costs following a break in production is evident. This thesis developed such a model relative to a machine-shop environment. Through the use of a computer stepwise regression program, a model was determined to predict first unit direct costs after a break in production. (Modified author abstract)

Descriptors :   *Air Force procurement, *Logistics planning, *Costs, Spare parts, Production, Learning curves, Mathematical prediction, Standard deviation, Theses

Subject Categories : Logistics, Military Facilities and Supplies

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE