Accession Number : AD0787414

Title :   Demographic Aspects of Scientific-Technical Prediction,

Corporate Author : FOREIGN TECHNOLOGY DIV WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO

Personal Author(s) : Medvedev,V. ; Rakov,A.

Report Date : 18 SEP 1974

Pagination or Media Count : 12

Abstract : In the Belorussian SSR, a prospective population census has been carried out since 1963. Today, the following combination of demographic models and algorithms is employed: a mathematical model of calculating the hypothetical population; an economic model for 'smoothing' data on the age composition of the population obtained as the result of the census; an economic-mathematical model of the average life expectancy and mortality of the population; algorithms and a mathematical program for constructing tables of the birth rate measured by age and sex; a model for predicting fertility and viability; and an algorithm and a program for a balanced tie-in of the data for specific territorial units with the data for the republic as a whole.

Descriptors :   *Demography, *Predictions, *USSR, Census, Mathematical models, Translations

Subject Categories : Sociology and Law

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE