Accession Number : AD0820425

Title :   STRUCTURE OF A METHODOLOGY FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PROJECTIONS.

Descriptive Note : Final rept. 1 Feb-31 Jul 67,

Corporate Author : DOUGLAS AIRCRAFT CO INC HUNTINGTON BEACH CA MISSILE AND SPACE SYSTEMS DIV

Personal Author(s) : Ivanoff, Dimitry N. ; Young, Robert A. ; Calhoun, Herbert L.

Report Date : JUL 1967

Pagination or Media Count : 181

Abstract : This study was aimed at the development of a methodology for projecting political, economic, and social factors of national and international environmental systems with improved accuracy. The report defines the conceptual and functional structure of a Methodology of Environmental Projections (MEP). MEP is conceived as a system which links the following components: data bank, data processing techniques, projected data bank and selected sets of indicators, with a conceptually structured output. The output of MEP is intended for use in long-range technological planning for military systems requirements. The document also contains accounts of test case studies performed to validate key portions of the methodology. Descriptions and specifications for computer programs used in the methodologies, taxonomies of variables and indicators, and surveys of methodologies and methodological techniques are also included.

Descriptors :   (*GOVERNMENT(FOREIGN), PREDICTIONS), (*FOREIGN POLICY, PREDICTIONS), POLITICAL SCIENCE, SOCIAL SCIENCES, ECONOMICS, DATA PROCESSING, DATA STORAGE SYSTEMS, COMPUTER PROGRAMS, PLANNING, MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION, DECISION MAKING, CORRELATION TECHNIQUES, FACTOR ANALYSIS, MATHEMATICAL MODELS, ATTITUDES(PSYCHOLOGY), CLASSIFICATION, SOCIOMETRICS.

Subject Categories : Government and Political Science
      Operations Research

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE