Accession Number : AD0835541

Title :   EFFECTS OF MASS LAYOFFS ON LOCAL UNEMPLOYMENT RATES. GUIDELINE CRITERIA FOR DETERMINING AREA ELIGIBILITY IN 'SUDDEN RISE' UNEMPLOYMENT CASES,

Corporate Author : KIRSCHNER ASSOCIATES INC ALBUQUERQUE NM

Personal Author(s) : Berry, Dale W. ; Murray, Tracy W.

Report Date : DEC 1967

Pagination or Media Count : 116

Abstract : The context and content of the problem and the analysis can be grasped only if the legislative background and intent of the Act and the 'sudden rise' criterion are understood. Chapter II provides this background, including the nature and significance of the sudden rise concept. Since this study is concerned with a specific type of economic impact that is not well understood and seldom studied, Chapter III describes the basic approach and alternative approaches. Specific hypotheses are developed to evaluate their validity in explaining variances in the degree of impact experienced by local areas following a major layoff. The hypotheses are incorporated into a mathematical model designed to estimate the degree of impact. The model is then tested in Chapter V utilizing data for the case study areas. Chapter VI includes refinements and simplifications of the basic model. Procedures are then developed in Chapter VII for utilizing the revised model and for establishing guideline criteria for evaluating designation requests under the sudden rise provision. The final chapter evaluates the findings of the study in terms of their policy implications and develops recommendations related both to legislation and to administrative matters.

Descriptors :   (*EMPLOYMENT, PREDICTIONS), (*PERSONNEL, REDUCTION), MILITARY FACILITIES, ECONOMICS, STANDARDS, MATHEMATICAL MODELS.

Subject Categories : Personnel Management and Labor Relations

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE