Accession Number : AD0867847

Title :   A Model of Carrier-Submarine Interactions

Corporate Author : CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES ALEXANDRIA VA NAVAL WARFARE ANALYSIS GROUP

Personal Author(s) : Hall, J V ; Tyson, J K ; Finucane, J S

PDF Url : AD0867847

Report Date : Feb 1970

Pagination or Media Count : 44

Abstract : The paper develops analytic expressions for the probability that a single aircraft carrier, opposed by submarines, can remain on station for a specified length of time. The threat from both torpedo and cruise-missile submarines is considered, but the threat from aircraft is not. Expressions for expected submarine losses are derived. Expressions are also developed to show how the probability of remaining on station improves as the carrier's resistance to damage increases. A wide variety of ASW force compositions and tactics can be represented in the parameters of the model. Appendix C presents an alternative way to formulate the problem and derive the quantities mentioned above. The two methods produce results that are in excellent agreement. The intention of the authors is to provide a tool that can be used to improve carrier effectiveness through the study of tactics and force interactions.

Descriptors :   *AIRCRAFT CARRIERS, *SUBMARINES, *THREAT EVALUATION, ANTISUBMARINE WARFARE, ATTRITION, DAMAGE ASSESSMENT, INTERACTIONS, INTERCEPTION PROBABILITIES, KILL PROBABILITIES, MATHEMATICAL MODELS, NUMERICAL ANALYSIS, UNDERSEA WARFARE

Subject Categories : Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics
      Undersea and Antisubmarine Warfare

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE