Accession Number : ADA017122

Title :   Mathematics of Strategic Indirect Bomb Damage Assessment for Point Targets,

Corporate Author : RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF

Personal Author(s) : Massey,H. G. ; Shaver,R. D.

Report Date : JUL 1973

Pagination or Media Count : 38

Abstract : The report derives mathematical formulas for inferring the status of a hardened point target attacked by a nuclear weapon from the distance between the detonation and the target. With observational inaccuracy described by a circular normal distribution, the probability of the target being damaged is expressed by the target damage function used for perfect observations, with the weapon/target parameters suitably transformed. Based on the Defense Intelligence Agency damage function, the formula applies to others also. Results are extended to derive the probability of target damage as a function of the number of weapons shot at the target and the number of BDA observations.

Descriptors :   *Point defense, *Hardened structures, *Bomb damage, Damage assessment, Nuclear weapons, Miss distance, Circular error probable

Subject Categories : Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE