Accession Number : ADA069703

Title :   Training for Calibration

Descriptive Note : Final rept.

Corporate Author : DECISION RESEARCH EUGENE OR

Personal Author(s) : Lichtenstein, Sarah ; Fischhoff, Baruch

PDF Url : ADA069703

Report Date : NOV 1978

Pagination or Media Count : 54

Abstract : Two experiments attempted to improve the quality of people's probability assessments through intensive training. The first involved 11 sessions of 200 assessments each followed by comprehensive feedback. It showed considerable learning, almost all of which was accomplished after receipt of the first feedback. There was modest generalization to several related probability assessment tasks, no generalization at all to two others. The second experiment reduced the training to three sessions. It revealed the same pattern of learning and limited generalization. The implications of these results are discussed.

Descriptors :   *DECISION MAKING, *ARMY TRAINING, PROBABILITY, CONFIDENCE LEVEL, FEEDBACK, CALIBRATION, JUDGEMENT(PSYCHOLOGY), LEARNING, PERFORMANCE(HUMAN), SKILLS, ACCURACY

Subject Categories : Humanities and History
      Psychology

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE