Accession Number : ADA114910

Title :   Scenario Agent: A Rule-Based Model of Political Behavior for Use in Strategic Analysis.

Descriptive Note : Interim rept.,

Corporate Author : RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA

Personal Author(s) : Dewar,James A ; Schwabe,William ; McNaugher,Thomas L

PDF Url : ADA114910

Report Date : Jan 1982

Pagination or Media Count : 58

Abstract : This Note describes a first-generation experimental computer model, Scenario Agent, as developed in Rand's Strategic Assessment Center in early 1981. Section II describes the Strategic Assessment Center and the role the Scenario Agent plays in it. Section III describes the conceptual approach taken in developing the Scenario Agent. Section IV discusses the Scenario Agent's inner workings in some detail so both programmers and non-programmers can understand them. Section V illustrates the results of using the Scenario Agent in a demonstration of the Strategic Assessment Center and discusses ideas of future refinement, some of which are now being implemented. Four appendixes list names of scenario entities, give examples of tabular scenario (tableau) and of a narrative scenario, and discuss rule-based modeling. (Author)

Descriptors :   *War games, *Computerized simulation, *Computer programming, *Scenarios, *Strategic analysis, Game theory, Nuclear warfare, Political science, Operations research, Tables(Data)

Subject Categories : Computer Programming and Software
      Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE