Accession Number : ADA130587

Title :   Strategic Analysis as Though Nonsuperpowers Matter.

Descriptive Note : Interim rept.,

Corporate Author : RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA

Personal Author(s) : Schwabe,William

PDF Url : ADA130587

Report Date : Jun 1983

Pagination or Media Count : 121

Abstract : Military strategy analysis seldom treats nonsuperpower behavior except in the simplest fashion. This obscures real uncertainty and disagreement about nonsuperpower roles in future armed conflict between superpowers. The study asks if a more dynamic treatment of nonsuperpower behavior in strategic analysis is feasible and desirable. It describes a rule-based nonsuperpower simulation and results of gaming several scenarios. The analysis reveals possible interactions between superpower and nonsuperpower decision making potentially affecting deterrence stability, military performance, and alliance cohesion. It concludes that strategic analysis can and should consider nonsuperpower behavior as important independent variables. (Author)

Descriptors :   *War games, *Strategic analysis, *Scenarios, Military strategy, Game theory, Models, Behavior, Policies, Computer applications, Computer programming, Interactions, Feasibility studies, Decision making, Problem solving

Subject Categories : Computer Programming and Software
      Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE