
Accession Number : ADA130806
Title : Approaches to Automatic Strategy Analysis and Synthesis.
Descriptive Note : Final rept. on Phase 1, 1 Jul 8131 Aug 82,
Corporate Author : STATE UNIV OF NEW YORK AT BUFFALO AMHERST DEPT OF COMPUTER SCIENCE
Personal Author(s) : Findler,Nicholas V
PDF Url : ADA130806
Report Date : 28 Sep 1982
Pagination or Media Count : 8
Abstract : The efforts of the research group for Computer Studies of Strategies centered on three longterm projects: (1) The Generalized Production Rules System (GPRS) is a program which can support decisionmaking for a variety of expert systems in need of estimates of hidden variables. Hidden variables are such that their values can be identified only at certain times, either intermittently or periodically. In contrast, open variables are readily measurable at any time. The estimation is vased on stochastic, causal relations between hidden and open variables. (2) The QuasiOptimizer System (QO) is a program which observes and measures adversaries' behavior in confrontations, infers their strategies, and constructs a descriptive theory, i.e., a model of each. It then identifies the components of the strategies, evaluates their effectiveness and combines the most satisfactory ones into a normative theory which is an optimum strategy in the statistical sense. (3) The Advice Taker/Inquirer System (AT/I) is a program which can be taught strategies by a human advisor. The advisor provides principles and highlevel examples of actions in different situations. The system applies the strategy to test, verify and optimize the strategy. (Author)
Descriptors : *Statistical analysis, *Decision making, *Computer applications, *Automatic, *Strategy, Variables, Optimization, Observation, Test and evaluation, Theory, Parts, Normality, Measurement, Fault tree analysis, Estimates, Models, Acquisition
Subject Categories : Statistics and Probability
Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE