Accession Number : ADA131560

Title :   A Comparison of the PROPHET and ACOL Force Projection Models.

Descriptive Note : Professional paper,

Corporate Author : CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES ALEXANDRIA VA NAVAL STUDIES GROUP

Personal Author(s) : Goldberg,Matthew S ; Hager,Michael F

PDF Url : ADA131560

Report Date : Jun 1981

Pagination or Media Count : 41

Abstract : The Center for Naval Analyses has developed two models for projecting enlisted force levels: the PROPHET model and the more widely-known ACOL model. This paper compares the career force projections of these models to actual historical experience over the period FY 78-FY 80. We also refine the ACOL model to allow for the effect of first-term reenlistment bonuses on subsequent second-term reenlistment rates.

Descriptors :   *Naval personnel, *Military force levels, *Projective techniques, *Model theory, Personnel retention, Reenlistment, Behavior, Data acquisition, Tables(Data), Careers, Unemployment, Civilian population, Comparison

Subject Categories : Personnel Management and Labor Relations

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE