Accession Number : ADA132022

Title :   Oil and Its Influence on Strategic Planning.

Descriptive Note : Master's thesis,

Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA

Personal Author(s) : Pierce,Terry Cliffton

PDF Url : ADA132022

Report Date : Jun 1983

Pagination or Media Count : 189

Abstract : This paper analyzes the continuing threat of a serious oil supply disruption and readiness of the U.S. to cope with such a development. Chapter One examines current perceptions of the likelihood of another oil crisis. It argues that these perceptions are critically flawed by an inadequate conceptual understanding of the nature of vulnerability. Chapter Two traces the U.S. response to the 1973-74 and 1978-79 oil crises and surveys the prospects for a future oil crisis. Chapter Three evaluates the present oil glut in relation to the U.S. long-term programs to reduce oil vulnerability. It examines the effect that a new complacement attitude arising from the appearance of surplus may have on efforts to promote policies to avert a future crisis. Chapter Four examines the different contingencies that the U.S. could possibly face as a result of oil dependence. Chapter Five examines U.S. national goals and the linkage between goals and policy. Chapter Six proposes a strategy of attainment to reduce U.S. vulnerability to future oil disruptions. Such a strategy would address both the short and long-term problems that face American strategic planners concerned with the oil issue.

Descriptors :   *Management planning and control, *Energy management, *Petroleum products, *Strategic analysis, Oil shales, Supplies, National energy crisis, Prevention, National security, Reserves(Energy), Resource management, Military strategy, Crisis management, History, Theses

Subject Categories : Administration and Management
      Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics
      Fuels

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE