Accession Number : ADA183130

Title :   The Theory and Application of Decision Analysis.

Descriptive Note : Final technical rept. 1 Oct 78-31 Dec 79,

Corporate Author : STANFORD UNIV CA

Personal Author(s) : Howard,Ronald A

PDF Url : ADA183130

Report Date : 31 Jan 1980

Pagination or Media Count : 13

Abstract : Research was conducted in five main areas that were at least partially supported by this contract. The principal topic investigated was information perishing. This research investigates the information acquisition policies for randomly occurring decisions. A randomly occurring decision is a decision that must be made upon the occurrence of a precipitating event that occurs randomly with time. Due to the urgency often associated with this type of decision, it is difficult to obtain fresh information at the time of the decision. Therefore, the available information will be limited to the unfresh (old) information from the past. Since the information becomes outdated and obsolete in time, regular updating of the information is often desirable in order to be prepared for the decision. This contract also partially supported larger research into the areas of hazard decision analysis, crisis decision analysis, decisions that affect the distant future, and influence diagrams. Abstracts of theses completed in these areas are attached in this document.

Descriptors :   *DECISION THEORY, ABSTRACTS, THESES, HAZARDS, DIAGRAMS

Subject Categories : Operations Research

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE