Accession Number : ADA184124

Title :   An Interactive Organizational Choice Processing System to Support Decision Making by Using a Prescriptive Garbage Can Model.

Descriptive Note : Master's thesis,

Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA

Personal Author(s) : Kang,Sun M

PDF Url : ADA184124

Report Date : Jun 1987

Pagination or Media Count : 92

Abstract : This thesis discusses and implements an interactive decision support system using a Prescriptive Garbage Can Model. The fundamental presumption is that if the choice-outcome relationships in an organization can be observed and evaluated, it is possible to extract predictiveness from uncertain streams, and allow the organization to shift to a less random strategy. Solving organizational problems consists of selecting those choices that lead the organization in a direction towards the ideal state. Thus, it is convenient to model the organizational state transitions as a Markovian process with stationary properties. The purpose of a Prescriptive Garbage Can Model is to advise the participants of the choices available in a current situation, and to present choice policies leading the highest potential benefits. Also a method of interfacing the current system with an expert system for intelligent decision making is examined.

Descriptors :   *MATHEMATICAL MODELS, POLICIES, BENEFITS, MARKOV PROCESSES, PROBLEM SOLVING, DECISION MAKING, INTERACTIONS, ORGANIZATIONS, STRATEGY, STATIONARY, THESES

Subject Categories : Administration and Management
      Operations Research

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE