Accession Number : ADA186537

Title :   Decision Analysis Applied to an Air Force Organization Problem.

Descriptive Note : Master's thesis,

Corporate Author : AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OH SCHOOL OF SYSTEMS AND LOGISTICS

Personal Author(s) : Sorensen, William T

PDF Url : ADA186537

Report Date : Sep 1987

Pagination or Media Count : 64

Abstract : This study investigated the application of decision analysis to a problem involving choices between various military organizational structures. The office involved in this study was the Program Control Directorate of the Propulsion System Program Office, Aeronautical Systems Division, Wright-Patterson AFB, OH. The research goal was to evaluate different organizational structures and to determine the optimal alternative. The decision analysis method applied is comprised of three phases deterministic, probabilistic, and informational. The deterministic phase structures the problem, the probabilistic phase incorporated the uncertainty associated with the decision problem and determined the optimal alternative, and the informational phase determined the associated utility of obtaining information to reduce uncertainty. Through this method, the decision-maker was assisted in determining a best logical alternative. The end product was a decision maker who thoroughly understood the decision problem, knew his optimal alternative, and possessed a model that shows the logic by which the optimal alternative was determined.

Descriptors :   *DECISION MAKING, *DECISION THEORY, *MILITARY ORGANIZATIONS, AIR FORCE, CONTROL, PROBABILITY, STRUCTURES, OPTIMIZATION, PROPULSION SYSTEMS, AERONAUTICAL ENGINEERING, THESES

Subject Categories : Operations Research

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE