Accession Number : ADA186549

Title :   Prediction of Polytomous Events: Model Description, Algorithm Development and Methodological Aspects, with an Application.

Descriptive Note : Technical rept.,

Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA

Personal Author(s) : O'Muircheartaigh, I G ; Gaver, D P

PDF Url : ADA186549

Report Date : Sep 1987

Pagination or Media Count : 21

Abstract : This article addresses the problem of predicting multi(more than two) category events. It describes a new approach (based on generalized linear models) which is natural extension of the technique of logistic regression (a method widely used for the prediction of dichotomous events). As an example, the method is applied to the prediction of tropical storm imminence, and the performance of the method is compared with that of alternative well-established techniques. Keywords: Meteorology; Weather forecasting.

Descriptors :   *MATHEMATICAL MODELS, *WEATHER FORECASTING, *MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION, ALGORITHMS, LINEARITY, LOGISTICS, METEOROLOGY, REGRESSION ANALYSIS, STORMS, TROPICAL CYCLONES

Subject Categories : Statistics and Probability
      Meteorology

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE