Accession Number : ADA188842

Title :   The Effects of Economic Conditions on Overall Air Force Officer Attrition.

Descriptive Note : Master's thesis,

Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA

Personal Author(s) : Grimes, Gary R

PDF Url : ADA188842

Report Date : Dec 1987

Pagination or Media Count : 121

Abstract : Air Force planners need to accurately predict officer losses in order to effectively control: the overall force size, promotion rates, augmentation and recruiting needs. Officer losses are influenced by a variety of behavioral and economic factors. This research identified the overall civilian unemployment rate as the major economic factor affecting Air Force officer losses. However, including the unemployment rate with the in system data (the number of separation/retirement applications already accepted) failed to increase the accuracy of the model currently used by Air Force. Recommendations are to further explore the cause of the serial correlation found in the time series data and to model the causal relationships that cause officers to leave the Air Force. Keywords: Military separation, Attrition.

Descriptors :   *AIR FORCE PERSONNEL, *ATTRITION, *OFFICER PERSONNEL, ACCURACY, AIR FORCE, BEHAVIOR, CIVILIAN PERSONNEL, ECONOMICS, LOSSES, MILITARY SEPARATION, MODELS, PROMOTION(ADVANCEMENT), RATES, RECRUITING, RETIREMENT, SEPARATION, SIZES(DIMENSIONS), TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, UNEMPLOYMENT, THESES

Subject Categories : Personnel Management and Labor Relations

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE