Accession Number : ADA192136

Title :   Pershing II Follow-On Test: Size Reduced by Sequential Analysis.

Descriptive Note : Research rept.,

Corporate Author : DEPUTY UNDER SECRETARY OF THE ARMY (OPERATIONS RESEARCH) WASHINGTON DC

Personal Author(s) : Willard, Daniel ; Woodroofe, Michael W ; Singpurwalla, Nozer ; Launer, Robert

PDF Url : ADA192136

Report Date : 01 Sep 1984

Pagination or Media Count : 114

Abstract : To minimize the amount of destructive testing needed to reaffirm system reliability, the best statistical procedures are needed. Two different methods based on Bayes theorem and Wald's sequential analysis are provided to reduce the size of annual missile tests below that derived from Fisher's Exact Test, which is not even appropriate for small samples under the conditions specified for the Pershing system. The two methods give substantially the same results. The methods are immediately applicable to other systems.

Descriptors :   *DESTRUCTIVE TESTS, *GUIDED MISSILES, BAYES THEOREM, REDUCTION, RELIABILITY, SAMPLING, SEQUENTIAL ANALYSIS, TEST AND EVALUATION

Subject Categories : Guided Missiles
      Test Facilities, Equipment and Methods

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE