Accession Number : ADA192338

Title :   Synoptic Patterns Related to Tropical Cyclone Recurvature

Descriptive Note : Master's thesis

Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA

Personal Author(s) : Sherman, Brett T

PDF Url : ADA192338

Report Date : Mar 1988

Pagination or Media Count : 138

Abstract : Relative vorticity fields calculated from the U. S. Navy operational Global Band Analysis are used to relate synoptic and storm parameters to the track of tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific Ocean. In this preliminary study, synoptic patterns are developed, described and discussed from the perspective of a pattern recognition technique to assist the forecasters at the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Guam. The focus is on track turning motions to the left and right of the persistence track and on trying to accurately predict the point of the turn or recurvature in relation to the time evolution of the vorticity patterns. The developmental sample of storms indicates that there is potential for using synoptic patterns in the Global Band Analysis to guide the selection of the appropriate track aid in the 48-60 hour time range.

Descriptors :   *TROPICAL CYCLONES, COMPUTER PROGRAMS, COMPUTERIZED SIMULATION, CURVATURE, EVOLUTION(GENERAL), FORTRAN, GUAM, MATHEMATICAL MODELS, MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION, MOTION, NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN, PARAMETERS, PATTERN RECOGNITION, PATTERNS, STORMS, SYNOPTIC METEOROLOGY, THESES, TIME, TRACKING, TYPHOONS, VORTICES, WARNING SYSTEMS, WEATHER FORECASTING, WEST(DIRECTION)

Subject Categories : Meteorology

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE