Accession Number : ADA193845

Title :   Estimating Reliability with Discrete Growth Models.

Descriptive Note : Master's thesis,

Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA

Personal Author(s) : Chandler, James D , Jr

PDF Url : ADA193845

Report Date : Mar 1988

Pagination or Media Count : 161

Abstract : Determining the reliability of newly designed systems is one of the most important functions of the acquisition process in the military. Tracking the growth in reliability of a system as it is developed and modified repeatedly is an important part of the acquisition process. This thesis extends and expands a reliability growth simulation program written previously. It analyzes the capabilities and limitations of two discrete reliability growth models to determine which models are most applicable in estimating system reliability under a variety of different growth patterns. Negative growth patterns are also considered. The result ot this thesis is a FORTRAN simulation which enables a more accurate estimate of system reliability using test data generated during the development phase of an acquisition program. Keywords: Theses; Charts; Mathematical models. (Author)

Descriptors :   *MATHEMATICAL MODELS, *RELIABILITY, *SYSTEMS ANALYSIS, ACQUISITION, EXPERIMENTAL DATA, FORTRAN, GROWTH(GENERAL), PATTERNS, THESES, TRACKING, COMPUTERIZED SIMULATION, ESTIMATES, CHARTS

Subject Categories : Operations Research

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE