Accession Number : ADA195390

Title :   ORACLE (Oversight of Resources and Capability for Logistics Effectiveness) and Requirements Forecasting. Volume 3. Predicting the Peacetime Spares Requirements.

Descriptive Note : Interim rept.,

Corporate Author : RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA

Personal Author(s) : Crawford, Gordon B ; Lansdowne, Z F ; Finnegan, F W

PDF Url : ADA195390

Report Date : May 1988

Pagination or Media Count : 162

Abstract : The inability of the armed services to accurately forecast their spares requirements has been an ongoing and widespread problem. This Note considers a regression methodology for spares requirements forecasting, It contains a nontechnical description of current forecasting approaches, presents the approach suggested by the authors, and details the methods used to calculate the requirements for the C-5, the F-15, and the F-16 aircraft. The authors conclude that, even after eliminating collections of parts whose costs are difficult to predict, costs for the remainder of the requirements are difficult to predict with the needed accuracy. Keywords: Forecasting, Spare parts, Regression analysis, Military aircraft, Fighter aircraft, Data bases.

Descriptors :   *FORECASTING, *SPARE PARTS, *LOGISTICS PLANNING, DATA BASES, FIGHTER AIRCRAFT, LOGISTICS, MILITARY AIRCRAFT, PEACETIME, REGRESSION ANALYSIS, REQUIREMENTS, SPARE PARTS, DATA BASES, FIGHTER AIRCRAFT, FORECASTING, LOGISTICS, MILITARY AIRCRAFT, PEACETIME, REGRESSION ANALYSIS, REQUIREMENTS, SPARE PARTS, DATA BASES, FIGHTER AIRCRAFT, FORECASTING, LOGISTICS, PEACETIME, REGRESSION ANALYSIS, PREDICTIONS, AIRCRAFT MAINTENANCE, TRANSPORT AIRCRAFT, MILITARY REQUIREMENTS

Subject Categories : Logistics, Military Facilities and Supplies

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE